This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
US Producer Price Index Will Impact USD
What will happen?
The US will reveal the Producer Price Index (PPI) on January 13, Thursday, at 15:30 GMT+2.
Why is it important?
The PPI is a leading indicator of consumer inflation as bigger charges by producers lead to higher costs for consumers and push inflation up. When inflation is higher than the Fed’s target, the bank can increase rates to cool down inflation. Higher rates, in turn, will push the US dollar up and gold down.
What happened last time?
Last time, the PPI was 0.8% – greater than analysts expected. It reinforced the expectations that the Fed would hike rates sooner than initially thought. It was a bullish factor for the greenback. Thus, the USD/JPY rose by 200 points after the report!
How to trade on US Producer Price Index?
Open the economic calendar a few days before the report and check the market forecast. If it’s considerably higher than the previous numbers, the USD can start rising before the release, and vice versa.
- The USD will strengthen if the PPI is greater than expected.
- If the PPI is worse than the forecasts, the USD will weaken.
Instruments to trade: all the major pairs and XAU/USD.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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