US unemployment is soaring: a trigger for the USD

US unemployment is soaring: a trigger for the USD

What?

Coronavirus and following shutdowns of American cities, including New York, the US financial center, cause a huge disruption of the American labor market. Companies operating in energy, travel, transportation, and services sectors are forced to fire their workers in order to cope with financial difficulties. Analysts predict especially tough times for Nevada and Florida: the states which are tourism-dependent.  

What to watch?

While we are waiting for the complete monthly employment data on April 3, today we can already assess the number of people who lost their jobs last week. We are talking about the weekly unemployment claims – the earliest job data. The release is expected at 14:30 MT time. Generally, it shows the number of individuals who requested unemployment insurance within a week. According to analysts, the unemployment claims will soar to 1000K – the record level in history. For now, the highest level was in October 1982 with 695K claims recorded.

What does it mean for the currency market?

If the unemployment figures are that high, it will generate additional weakness for the USD. The currency has been already under pressure after the US Senate has approved the $2 trillion virus rescue plan. Looking at the H4 chart of EUR/USD, we can see that the pair has risen above the 50-period MA and is testing the 1.0950 level. The next resistance will lie at 1.0980 (200-period SMA) and 1.1. What if the unemployment claims are not so worrying (i.e. lower-than-expected)? In that scenario, we will be looking for a retest of 1.0890 level. The next support will be placed at 1.0830.

EURUSDH4tgfjgfh.png

LOG IN

Similar

How to trade the JPY?
How to trade the JPY?

Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:

USD and GBP Traders Await Big Moves
USD and GBP Traders Await Big Moves

The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.

What to Trade on August 29 - September 2?
What to Trade on August 29 - September 2?

Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.

Latest news

Increased Volatility is Coming
Increased Volatility is Coming

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.

Market Crash Incoming?
Market Crash Incoming?

This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.

What Currency Will Overperform?
What Currency Will Overperform?

S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Feel the Team Spirit

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera