We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
USD ahead of consumer sentiment report
The US consumer sentiment will be published on July 17 at 17:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
There are two types of consumer sentiment reports: preliminary and revised. This one is preliminary, that’s why it has more influence on the market than the second one. The consumer sentiment is the one of main assessments of financial health of the country. Now, the USA is suffering from the fresh virus resurgence. Confirmed daily cases are increasing every day. As a result, it may deteriorate the consumer sentiment. Two last reports exceeded expectations. However, now we can’t be sure what the result will be.
If the US consumer sentiment is better than expected, the USD will surge.
If the US consumer sentiment is worse than expected, the USD will fall.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.