The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
USD: biggest weekly gain since October
- The US dollar is heading towards its largest weekly increase since October amid the risk-off market sentiment. Whereas, global stocks are having their worst weekly drop in nearly three months.
- According to Bloomberg, some strategists recommend investors to buy the dips ahead of the expected stimulus-driven economic recovery. However, others believe that the vaccine delays will slow the rebound.
- US jobless claims came out better than analysts expected: 847 000 vs. the forecast of 880 000. However, the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2020 grew lower than anticipated: 4.0% vs. 4.2%. US CB Leading index came out along with expectations.
EUR/USD has failed to cross the support of 1.2100. If it manages to break this level finally, the way down to the low of December 18 at 1.2050 will be clear. On the flip side, the move above the 50-period moving average of 1.2130 will drive the pair to the high of January 27 at 1.2170.
GBP/USD has bounced off the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator at 1.3700. If the pair drives above yesterday’s high of 1.3750, the way up to the next round number of 1.3800 will be open. Support levels are 1.3700 and 1.3650.
USD/JPY has escaped the channel it has been trading inside for a year. Today it has even jumped above the 200-day moving average of 104.50. If the bulls keep momentum, the price may be driven to the next resistance of 105.00. Support levels are at the psychological mark of 104.00 and at the low of January 21 at 103.35.
AUD/USD retreated to the 200-period moving average of 0.7665. It should be just a retracement ahead of further falling. On the way down, the pair may meet support levels at yesterday’s low of 0.7600 and low of December 28 at 0.7570.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.