The OPEC meeting and the US Nonfarm Payrolls rocked the market last week. The market is torn between optimism about the global economic recovery and concerns about the new coronavirus strains.
USD is waiting for the jobless claims!
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
Initial jobless claims posted each Thursday in the US became a central tool to track the pulse of the reopening process in the States – or re-closing. The last release revealed 1.31 million claims for unemployment benefits – down from 1.41 a week before. In general, it is obvious that we are seeing a gradual decrease in the number of jobless people. However, due to the latest infection spikes in the US and the cancellation/freezing of re-opening procedures in some of the states, we may see slower recovery compared to the previously observed tendency. 1.25 million is the expected figure this time.
- If the jobless claims are lower than expected, the USD will rise;
- If the jobless claims are higher than expected, the USD will fall.
All eyes are turning to the Federal Reserve and the US dollar. How to trade XAU/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD?
The main bank of Russian will likely turn hawkish today. Time to sell USD/RUB?
The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!