The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
USD to gain from the Fed report?
What will happen?
The US Fed rate will be announced on March 17, at 20:00 MT time.
While the rate itself is not expected to see any change, the economic outlook is what traders will be looking at. On the humanitarian side, the vaccines are expected to drive the recovery towards returning to normal conditions this year. On the financial side, while the economy is on the way to the targeted inflation rate of 2%, the rise of the Treasury yields has been a headline since recently and may be addressed by the Fed’s officials.
How to trade the Fed rate?
If the above projections of a steady economic recovery ahead in the US are confirmed, the USD will likely gain value on traders’ optimism. A more pessimistic outlook would press on the US dollar.
- Optimistic/hawkish Fed projections make the USD rise;
- Modest/dovish Fed report presses on the USD.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
Great Britain will publish the Inflation Rate on October 20, at 09:00 MT time (GMT+3).
The bullish movement in the stock market is gaining speed, and Bitcoin ETFs are closer than they might seem. What do we need to know for the next trading week?