The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
Weekly US employment data: chances for the USD
The United States will release unemployment claims on August 20, at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
We continue to closely follow the situation with US employment. The release of US unemployment claims provides us an overview of the current situation in the labor market of the biggest economy. It is the number of people who applied for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. Judging by these figures, analysts may suggest what the next NFP release is going to be. Last week, the actual level of unemployment claims came out lower than the forecast of 1 410K. The data showed 1 186K people filed for unemployment benefits. This time analysts expect an even lower number of people (1 120K).
- If the indicator is higher than the forecasts, the USD will fall;
- If the indicator is lower than the forecasts, the USD will rise.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
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The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).