Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
What do banks expect for GBP/USD?
There’s seldom a single opinion among different analysts. However, this time the views on the prospects of the British pound versus the US dollar are mostly the same. We have read the news and put this all together for your.
JP Morgan thinks that GBP/USD has settled above 1.30. If this support holds, the pair will aim to 1.3280/90. In this area, there’s a significant resistance, says JPM.
Analysts at Lloyds Bank point out that Britain has released some positive economic figures so far, so GBP/USD will likely stay between 1.3050 and 1.3285 in the near term. The bank is cautious about the further upside: to be sure that the pair is able to retest 1.3385 and 1.3515, it has to break above 1.3285. Otherwise, it will risk sliding to 1.2800-1.2700.
Technical analysis provided by Commerzbank offers the same resistance level: 1.3285. The initial resistance is at 1.3175 (minor downtrend). On the downside, a decline below 1.2908 will open the way down to 1.2690 (200-day MA).
The longer-term forecasts for GBP/USD
Analysts at Thomson Reuters claim that GBP/USD can rise as high as to 1.50 if foreign demand for UK stocks grows this year. British stocks used to underperform, but things may change after Boris Johnson’s victory in the recent election. BNY Mellon, however, reminds that the GBP will still be exposed to big risks related to the UK-EU negotiations this year.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on May 27 at 15:30 GMT+3.
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.