The Fed can start tapering already this November, oil is rallying pushing the Canadian dollar up! Jump in to know more!
What does the Bank of Canada think about the CAD?
The Bank of Canada (BOC) will release the rate statement with an update on the interest rate on December 9, at 17:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: USD/CAD, EUR/CAD, GBP/CAD
On November 26, the Bank of Canada published an opening statement for the government. According to it, the economy is still dealing with pandemic problems. Moreover, the situation with the Canadian economy will heavily depend on the virus. At the same time, the regulator believes that vaccines and effective treatment will be widely available by mid-2022. The employment is recovering, but it still has fewer jobs than it did before the pandemic. The same goes for Canadian inflation, as the most recent release showed CPI at 0.7% in October. Thus, the Bank of Canada sees such measures as a low interest rate (currently held at 0.25%), and quantitative easing appropriate until the recovery is underway. It’s unlikely that we will see any changes to the interest rate or easing measures. However, the tone of the statement may provide additional insights into the bank’s decisions.
- If the statement is hawkish, the CAD will strengthen.
- If the statement is dovish, the CAD will fall.
Quadruple witching is gone and now there are no reasons for the market to hinder. From banks statements and economic data to gas storage reading and Fed’s Powell speech – get ready for active trading.
Canada will release its inflation rate in different forms, including Common, Median, Trimmed, Core, and All items CPI on September 15, 15:30 GMT+3.
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
Although Jerome Powell’s speech sounded hawkish on Wednesday, September 22, markets did not get scared and the main stock indices got bought back…
Turkey’s central bank governor was at a crossroads: to hold interest rates and take a risk to be fired like it was for three governors before him, or to comply with the president, to cut rates, and to risk the market. Let’s find out, how to react to the rate cut.