The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
What does the Bank of England have to say?
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Summary will be announced on Thursday at 14:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, GBP/CHF, GBP/CAD
The Bank of England lowered its interest rate by 50 bps on March 11, making it 0.25%. Coupled with the quantitative ease package, this appears to be a significant stimulus to support the British economy, which is now under the pressure of several burdens such as the virus and Brexit consequences. Amid all this, the position of the GBP generally doesn’t look too bright. Fundamentally, the market is not really impressed with the government’s reaction to the virus. Its main impression is that the UK’s lawmakers are lagging behind compared to their European colleagues who went all-in with maximum restrictions to contain the virus. That’s the main factor pushing investors away from the GBP. Possibly, the Bank of England will bring some reassuring notes from the financial side on Thursday – that would help the GBP stay afloat.
- If the bank’s mood is hawkish, the GBP appreciates;
- If the bank’s mood is dovish, the GBP drops.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.