The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
What drives the market on May 7?
The main focus is on the UK as the Bank of England made an announcement this morning. Let’s see what’s happening with the British pound and what else moves the market today.
The pound surged higher after the BoE had reported that interest rates and quantitative easing would stay unchanged. Previously, the central bank maintained the interest rate at 0.1% and increased its bond-buying program by 200 billion pounds. Moreover, Boris Johnson, the British Prime Minister, promised to start reopening of the economy on Monday. As a result, the market sentiment turned positive and the British pound gained.
Surprisingly, Chinese exports rose by 3.5% while analysts expected the 11% drop. However, imports decreased by 14.2%, while only the 10% decline was forecasted. The overall sentiment after the report was positive that the second-largest economy may recover faster than anticipated, and the Chinese yuan jumped. Moreover, the Australian dollar gained on upbeat Chinese export data.
Traders are waiting for tomorrow US unemployment rate, that is expected to be extremely high. Yesterday the ADP report revealed 20.2 million jobs lost that slightly exceeded the expected 20.5 million. That pushed the US dollar up.
The WTI oil price was growing up and then stopped on the $24 mark. As you remember, OPEC+ started to cut the oil production by 10 million barrels a day starting from May 1. It seems that the oil consumption is slowly recovering with the easing of lockdowns all over the world, but it may take a year to return to the pre-crisis level.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.