The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
What drives the market on August 12?
The US dollar edged higher, while gold dipped down. Let’s discuss main news and market movements in detail.
- The day started with the monetary policy statement from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The central bank increased asset purchases from 60 billion to 100 billion New Zealand dollars, releasing a dovish statement. The New Zealand dollar slumped after the report. In addition, new cases rose on the country, that forced the government to impose stricter restrictions.
- Moreover, the US talks over the fiscal stimulus package continue. Even Donald Trump’s executive orders didn’t speed up the agreement between Democrats and Republicans. New infections surged in California. Deaths reached the highest level since June of 1 400, according to yesterday’s reports. The growth of US bond yields underpinned the US dollar and weighed on gold. The such a massive sell-off in gold also happened because of profit takers.
Let’s look at the chart. If NZD/USD falls below the support at 0.6530, it may fall even deeper to the next strong support at 0.6400, which the pair failed to break in July. If it jumps above the resistance at the high of July 9 at 0.6600, it will open doors towards the next resistance at 0.6700.
EUR/USD reversed from the support at 1.1715. If the price breaks through the resistance at 1.1750, it will surge to the key psychological mark at 1.1800. Support levels are at 1.1715 and 1.1700.
Let’s move on to gold. It was falling down sharply, but bounced off the support at $1 875. If it crosses $1 930, it will clear the way towards the key psychological mark at $1 950. Support levels are at $1 875 and $1 800.
The British pound surged higher after the better-than expected GDP release. It turned out 8.7%, while the forecast was 8.1%. If GBP/USD breaks out the high of August 7 at 1.3050, it will surge to 50 moving average at 1.3090. Support levels are 1.3020 and 1.2980.
- The US CPI will be out at 15:30 MT time! Don't miss out!
- Crude oil imvemtories will be released at 17:30 MT time!
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.