What to Trade on August 22–26?
How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
What drives the market on July 8?
Fundamental factors
- US new virus cases surged again on Tuesday. California and Texas recorded 10 000 infections each. Investors are worried that it will slow down the economic recovery.
- The Australian new infections rose, as well. Its government imposed strict restrictions. If Australian citizens decide to go to China, they may be even arrested. It weighed on the aussie.
- The Trump administration considers to break the Hong Kong dollar peg to punish China. In other words, they want to stop businesses from investing in the city or limiting the ability of Hong Kong banks to buy US dollars. You may think the Hong Kong dollar is insignificant for the rest of the world and you may be right. However, Hong Kong ranks the third largest USD trading center in the world after New York and London. Also, the city plays the important role of a channel between the USA and China. Just think about it, 73% of the city's stock market value is of companies from the mainland. If the USA managed to do that, it will deteriorate Sino-American tensions.
- EU’s Brexit negotiators arrived in London on Tuesday. The progress in the Brexit deal will encourage investors to go long on the British pound.
Watch our daily forex trading plan!
Technical tips
XAU/USD
Gold is the main focus of attention today. It surged to $1 795. There are just few steps left to achieve the $1 800 mark. Anyway, look for support levels at the yesterday low at $1 778 and then at $1 770.
EUR/USD
The Euro is loosening against the US dollar. It’s moving down towards the strong support at the intersection of the 50- and 100-period moving averages at 1.1255. The move below this level may push the price to the next support at 1.1215. Resistance levels are at 1.1300 and 1.3300.
USD/CNH
USD/CNH has just broken through the support at 7.0200 after the short correction. We can notice that red candles prevail and the long term trend is downward. Based on that, we can expect the further falling. It will meet the support at 6.9650. If it breaks it down, it will open doors towards the next barrier at the low of March 4 at 6.9200. Resistance levels are at 7.0920 and 7.1000.
Oil
The WTI oil has been trading near $40 a barrel for quite a long time. That proved the sustainable recovery of the oil market. Watch out the crude oil inventories report today at 17:30 MT time. It will add the fresh volatility. If the data comes better than the forecast, the WTI oil will rise, otherwise-fall. Don’t miss out this chance!
To trade WTI with FBS you need to choose WTI-20Q.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Will the UK and US Cope with Inflation?
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.
