Last week was full of surprises! The US dollar plunged despite a better-than-expected retail sales report…
What is Moving Markets on August 6?
- US Dollar Index attempts to break the 200-period MA ahead of July’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which carries high expectations.
- Investors look forward to Canada’s July jobs report. An increase of 177,500 positions is expected as the nation extends its reopening after lockdowns in the spring.
- Investors look less concerned about China’s crackdown on tech companies. Despite, coronavirus cases' growth in the world's second-largest economy, HK50 stays in the 26,000-26,600 range.
- A defining moment for cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin might break through the extremely important resistance line and get pumped after.
US dollar index tests the 200-period moving average. MA Ribbon indicator shows that the downtrend is almost over. The RSI indicator locates in the middle range and MACD tells the uptrend has just started. In the most likely scenario, after the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, the price will break through moving averages and head towards 93. On the flip side, if it will not, the closest support level is 91.8.
USD/CAD got squeezed between 50 and 200-period moving averages. In case the price holds above the 200-period moving average, it will head towards 1.256 (the 100-period MA) and 1.2596 (Fibonacci 23.6). In another scenario, it will meet 1.24 and 1.231 as these are 50 and 61.8 Fibonacci levels respectively.
HK50. The price has fallen out of the rising wedge and now it is consolidating between 26,240 and 25,980, which are 23.6 and 38.2 Fibonacci levels respectively. It seems that the 38.2 Fibonacci is an extremely important support level as the price could not break it through for 3 times since August 3. That is why we suggest thinking about long trades if the price meets this level again. In this case, targets will be 26,240 and 26,600. Unfortunately, if HK50 breaks the 38.2 Fibonacci level, it might fall to 25,000 and draw a “double bottom” pattern.
The main question for Bitcoin at the moment is: “Can it break through the blue resistance line?” If it does, the bull-market run will happen and the price will skyrocket up to $44,800 and $48,000. Otherwise, the middle-term target will be $29,700.
The US will reveal its Inflation Rate, while Apple will launch iPhone 13 today. How will the markets react? Let’s find out.
What will happen? US consumer price indexes (CPI) will be announced at 15:30 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, August 11…
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on July 8, at 15:30 MT time.
The Federal Open Market Committee, a committee within the Federal Reserve, will reveal a detailed record of the central bank’s last meeting on July 6 at 21:00 MT.
The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its cash rate and make a statement about future rate policy on Tuesday, July 5, at 07:30 MT.