In today's market insights, we delve into Citibank's oil price predictions, the evolving competition between Huawei and Apple, the Saudi Arabia-Tesla partnership, and the upcoming rate decisions from the world's major central banks.
What moves the market on June 22?
The market sentiment is mixed. China’s outbreak appeared to fade, what set the risk-on tone. At the same time, risk-off is fueled by the resurgence of new cases in the USA and some parts of Europe. Moreover, the US-China tensions are on the table again as China released details of a national security law that would give it the right to directly prosecute Hong Kong residents for still vaguely defined offenses. Also, US attempts to push the ceasefire in Libya as well as geopolitical tensions in Asia are catalysts that weigh on the trading sentiment.
The market uncertainty pushed gold up. The price retested the monthly high at 1750. It may continue rising, until it meets the resistance at 1762. At that moment or even earlier, gold can have a pullback. It has been trading in a range between 1680 to 1750 for quite a long time. If it breaks above this range, it will push the price higher. Otherwise, the move below 1717 will push the price even lower to the key psychological mark at 1700 and then 1680.
EUR/USD dropped significantly after rising for a month. However, it struggles to break down the support at 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1165. If it crosses it, it will open doors towards the next support at 1.1065, where the 200-period moving average lies. In opposite, if bulls get stronger, EUR will jump to the 100-period moving average at 1.125. However, many analysts have bearish prospect for EUR.
Receding figures of the coronavirus from China offer a boost to the market’s mood. S&P 500 has just crossed 3060. If it continues climbing up, it will meet the resistance at 3110. The support level is at 200-day moving average at 3020. If it breaks it down, it may fall even deeper to 3000.
Let’s move on to oil. The Brent oil price has just passed $42. Now it’s moving up towards the resistance at 50% Fibonacci level at $45. Support levels are $39 and $36.
To trade Brent with FBS you need to choose BRN-20N.
It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
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Oil prices are rising and Russia banned the export of its petrol. What's happening in the markets?
Today's main event for the markets is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, where the US regulator is widely expected to keep the interest rate at the same level of 5.5%.