Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
What moves the market on May 25?
Investors are confused. They weigh the prospect of a soon recovery as economies are reopening against the growing US-China tension. Also, analysts anticipate the whole trading to be discreet with US and British markets closed for public holidays.
The risk-on mood still had a positive impact on stock indexes, such as S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones. S&P 500 has gained and approached the retracement level at 2975. If it crosses it, it will open doors toward the psychological mark at 3000. Support is at 2895.
Risk-on currencies are under pressure
Whereas, optimism around economic reopening is fading because of the lack of transparency in US-China relationships. Beijing decided to put security laws on Hong Kong, what was viewed negatively by the USA. Investors prefer safe-haven currencies to risk-on ones. AUD, NZD and GBP are moving down under pressure. Let’s look more closely at AUD/USD. It had been a strong upward trend since March 20. Nevertheless, the price has started falling on May 21. It’s may be just a correction. After the pullback to the support line at 0.649, it can move up again. Retracement is at 0.66. Support levels are at 0.649, 0.64 and 0.627.
USD vs JPY
The Japan’s government is expected to lift the state of emergency in Tokyo and its surrounding regions. The US dollar remains the most preferable currency among other safe-haven ones. It has even unbeaten the Japanese yen. USD/JPY has almost broken through the retracement level at 107.725. The next one is at 107.9. Support lines are at 107.35 and 107.1.
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
The US will reveal Non-farm payrolls on January 7, Friday, at 15:30 GMT+2 (MetaTrader time).
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.