Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Will Fed Raise Interest rate?
What will happen?
On March 16, 2022, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will make a statement and economic projections and, after that, the Federal Reserve will publish the Federal Funds Rate. This data comes out 8 times a year. An interest rate decision itself is usually priced in by the market in advance, so a forward-focused FOMC statement tends to outshine the rate announcement, especially if there’s no surprise in the rate.
How will it affect the dollar?
This release is the primary tool the FOMC uses to communicate with investors on monetary policy issues. Decisions made on this day add volatility to the market. In addition, press conference questions often lead to unplanned responses and increase volatility even more.
After the last release, USD rocketed by 560 points and then kept rising for some time.
How to trade on the Fed Funds rate release?
If the “Actual” rate is higher than expected, it is good for the currency. However, don’t underestimate the FOMC statement and press conference questions, which often lead to unplanned responses. The conference can trigger an opposite reaction in USD.
- If the release is hawkish – the USD will go up.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
Check the Economic calendar
Instruments to trade: EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, US500, US100.
Now traders follow the economic events with new vision as inflation in the US seems like decreasing. Let’s see what releases will influence the market due to that factor.
The week will have the biggest event in the US political process over the last two years. How will the elections affect the Forex market? We covered the most important news of this week in this report.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.