
It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
Riskier assets and gold ended last week with huge gains due to the weak US dollar’s performance. Let’s discuss what will drive the markets today.
EUR/USD has broken through the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.1810. After a short selling, the pair is likely to rise further to the 61.8% Fibo level of 1.1860. If it manages to cross this level, it will jump to the key psychological mark of 1.1900. On the flip side, if it falls below the area of 1.1800-1.8100, the doors towards the 38.2% Fibo level of 1.1765 will be open.
S&P 500 is edging higher by the risk-on sentiment. Elsewhere, the 50-period moving average crosses the 200-period MA bottom up, forming a golden cross, which is a bullish signal. It has just crossed the resistance of 3 480, clearing the way towards the high of August 31 at 3 525. Once it closes above this level, it may jump to the all-time peak of 3 580. In the opposite scenario, the move below 3 445 will push the stock index to the 200-period MA of 3 390.
XAU/USD has broken through the two-month trendline, revealing its intention to keep rallying further. If gold rises to the 50-day moving average of $1 940, it may rise to the high of September 16 of $1 960. Support levels are $1 915 and $1 900.
The British pound is climbing up. The move above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.3080 will drive the price to the 61.8% Fibo level of 1.3175. On the flip side, the move below the area of 1.2980-1.3000 will push the price to the 23.6% Fibo level of 1.2870.
Follow the speech of the BoE’s governor Bailey. The more optimistic he will be about the UK economic recovery – the better for the pound.
It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
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