The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.
Will the AUD Outperform on Inflation Rate Release?
What will happen?
Australia will publish its Inflation Rate on January 25, at 02:30 MT time. This is a significant release that shows the quarter over quarter change in the price of goods and services. It comes out together with the trimmed mean CPI that is calculated as the headline indicator minus the most volatile 30% assets.
Why is it important?
Given current uncertainties around rising prices worldwide, the release of CPI grabs a lot of attention. Based on the change in inflation figures, central banks make their decisions regarding monetary policy. If the inflation goes above its target, regulators tend to turn hawkish. As a result, the currency strengthens as well.
Last time, the Australian dollar outperformed on the higher-than expected trimmed mean CPI. While the headline indicator came out in line with the forecast of 0.8%, the core level jumped by 0.7% (vs. the forecast of 0.5%).
How to trade on the Australian Inflation Rate?
It’s easy! Just compare the actual data with the forecasts which appear a few days before the report in the economic calendar.
- If the figures are higher than the forecasts, the AUD will rise.
- Otherwise – fall.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on May 6, at 15:30 MT time.
The Bank of England will publish its Monetary Policy Report and Summary, Official Bank Rate, and its votes on May 5 at 14:00 MT.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.