The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
Will the AUD rise on a steady rate?
RBA will announce its interest rate on Tuesday at 07:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, AUD/CHF, EUR/AUD
On March 19, the interest rate of Australia was reduced to 0.25%. Since then, it was kept steady. The Reserve Bank of Australia informed that there will be no intention to increase the rate until there is full employment, a 2-3% inflation rate, and other indications that the economy is recovering. That means the rate will be kept steady in the nearest future as the virus fallout has just started to be visible. Although certain economic improvements are reported in Australia, the prevailing expectation is that this quarter will bring a severe contraction in the economy and the jobless rates will surge. Hence, we will look at the tone of the RBA press conference to gather details of the outlook for the AUD.
- If the bank’s tone is hawkish, the AUD will rise.
- If the bank’s tone is dovish, the AUD will fall.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The market sentiment improved amid the slowdown in virus cases. Let's have a closer look at the AUD, S&P 500, gold and the GBP.
The market sentiment improved after the USA reported some decreasing in coronavirus hospitalizations. Gold dropped below $2 000 and the US dollar dipped down, while stocks surged. Let’s have a closer look.
The RBNZ will make the monetary policy statement on August 12 at 5:00 MT time!
The market has started the week with a mixed sentiment…