The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
Will the BOC surprise with a rate hike?
The Bank of Canada will release the interest rate on October 24 at 17:00 MT time.
The market anticipates a rate hike. It’s not a secret that an increase of the interest rate always supports the currency. Last time the Bank of Canada has raised the interest rate in July 2018. It was quite unexpectedly for the market as the environment of uncertainties around the trade war made the central banks cautious.
Up to now, the Canadian inflation level is well above the target that makes traders believe in the rate hike.
• In case of the rate hike, the CAD will rise.
• In case of the neutral/negative rate, the CAD will fall.
US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
Canada's retail sales will be out on Friday at 15:30 MT time.
S&P 500 skyrocketed to the all-time high on optimism that Biden’s fiscal stimulus will support economic growth and boost corporate earnings.
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.