The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
Will the CAD rise on a strong GDP growth?
Canadian monthly GDP growth rate is announced on Tuesday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: USD/CAD; AUD/CAD; CAD/JPY; GBP/CAD
The contraction of 7.2% that was brought by March was the biggest on record for the Canadian economy. However, March was not the last month during which the virus showed its true extent – it was April. Although some sectors such as the stock market already saw signs of recovery, the real economy was still under pressure. The estimation provided by the Canadian office of national statistics is 11% for April – that’s what the market factored in. That’s why a figure at or above this level will push the CAD, while any underperformance will drag it down.
- If the GDP growth is better than expected, the CAD will rise;
- Otherwise, it will fall.
The market optimism waned amid stricter restrictions to control rising coronavirus infections. S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped from the all-time highs, while the USD jumped higher.
S&P 500 skyrocketed to the all-time high on optimism that Biden’s fiscal stimulus will support economic growth and boost corporate earnings.
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!