During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
Will the Canadian dollar rise?
The Canadian monthly GDP is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: USD/CAD, EUR/CAD, CAD/JPY, CAD/CHF
In September, the Canadian economy grew 0.8% against the value of August. That’s a slightly weaker performance after 0.9% the month before, and significantly weaker than 2.5%, 6.2%, and 4.6% in the previous months consecutively. And the thing is, it’s not bad news: a developed country rarely sees figures higher than 1% of economic growth month over month. So seeing the GDP slowly calm down should mean that the Canadian economy is most probably getting back to normal. That’s a strategic view though. In the short-term, on the day of the GDP announcement, the market will move according to its expectations. If the GDP is better than thought, the market will push the CAD; otherwise, it will drag it down.
- If the GDP outperforms expectations, that may push the CAD.
- If the GDP underperforms, the CAD may go down.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.