Will the Canadian inflation rate rise?

Will the Canadian inflation rate rise?

The Canadian year-on-year inflation rate will be released at 15:30 MT time on November 20.

The October release of the year-on-year inflation rate was 1.9%. That was below the expected 2.1%. November 20 offers a similar possibility: the forecast is the same 2.1%. If the rate is again 1.9%, that would be the third month in a row of the inflation showing no move in either direction. The analysts advise that the Canadian economy has been on a steady growth course in general, with certain internal weaknesses though. The worse-than-expected jobs data referencing the October employment dynamics may have a negative impact on the inflation rate through lower industrial activity. However, if the announced rate exceeds the market expectation, that should appreciate the Canadian dollar.

  • If the inflation rate exceeds the market expectation, the CAD will rise;
  • If the inflation rate does not exceed the market expectation, the CAD will fall.

Check the economic calendar

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The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.

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