The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
Will the euro stand firm?
The European unemployment rate is announced on Wednesday at 12:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, EUR/CAD, EUR/CHF
In February and March, unemployment in the EU was at 6.5%. It is the lowest over the course of more than a decade: the large downtrend started at 11.5% in 2014 and since then, it has only been making its way down to that 6.5% in spring. Now, the virus made it rise again: from 6.7% in April to 7.5% in August and September. Although the last two months have been showing the same percentages, it would not be pointless to expect a new upswing in European unemployment due to the second wave of the virus. So if the number of jobless people in the EU rises again, the EUR will likely slump. Otherwise, it will rise.
- If the jobs data is better than the expectations, the EUR will rise.
- If the figures are worse than the forecasts, the GBP will drop.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.