The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
Will the euro stand firm?
The European unemployment rate is announced on Wednesday at 12:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, EUR/CAD, EUR/CHF
In February and March, unemployment in the EU was at 6.5%. It is the lowest over the course of more than a decade: the large downtrend started at 11.5% in 2014 and since then, it has only been making its way down to that 6.5% in spring. Now, the virus made it rise again: from 6.7% in April to 7.5% in August and September. Although the last two months have been showing the same percentages, it would not be pointless to expect a new upswing in European unemployment due to the second wave of the virus. So if the number of jobless people in the EU rises again, the EUR will likely slump. Otherwise, it will rise.
- If the jobs data is better than the expectations, the EUR will rise.
- If the figures are worse than the forecasts, the GBP will drop.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).