The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
Will the FOMC lift the USD?
What will happen?
The US Fed provides a Statement and a Press Conference on April 28, at 21:00 MT time.
FOMC is the primary source of potentially impactful information about the economic outlook in the US. Lately, we have become accustomed to the fact that the interest rate will be kept steady in the nearest future – that’s why it’s not what observers will be looking at. Rather, the details of the Fed’s message about the dynamics of the US economic recovery will be the key element. If they are encouraging, the USD is likely to rise. Otherwise, if there are doubts about the steadiness of the economic recovery process in the US, the US dollar may lose value.
How to trade the Fed’s announcement?
If optimistic projections of a steady economic recovery ahead in the US are confirmed, the USD will likely gain value on traders’ risk-on moods. A more pessimistic outlook would press on the US dollar.
- Optimistic/hawkish Fed projections make the USD rise;
- Modest/dovish Fed report presses on the USD.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).