Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Will the GBP get stronger on PMIs?
UK Services and Manufacturing PMIs are announced on Friday at 11:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, GBP/CHF
The GBP is in a hard position now – as it apparently will be during the entire 2020. On the one hand, the British authorities are coming up with strong monetary stimulus and other measures to fight off the virus fallout and jump-start the UK economy. On the other hand, Boris Johnson’s stance in Brexit negotiations is becoming more and more rigid. In the meantime, the British economy is contracting in almost all spheres at a frightening pace. Although the situation has been somewhat stabilizing since April, the latest PMI results are still below the key mark of 50.0 that would signal the industry expansion. Therefore, some good news from this front would definitely help the GBP to stay afloat.
- If the PMIs reveal better-than-thought results, the GBP will rise;
- Otherwise, it will fall.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.