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The United States will publish the indicators of retail sales and core retail sales on October 16, at 15:30 MT time. The level of retail sales shows the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. At the same time, its core indicator excludes automobiles from the calculation. Last time, the indicator of retail sales increased by the higher-than-expected 0.4%. Despite that, the level of core retail sales remained unchanged (vs. the forecast of +0.1%). The releases resulted in the mixed performance of the USD. Let’s see if they lead to a different outcome this time.
• If the actual levels of indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the actual levels of indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.
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