The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Will the last ECB meeting with Mario Draghi be crucial for the EUR?
The European Central Bank will release its monetary policy statement and announce an official rate at 14:45 MT on October 24. After that, the ECB President Mario Draghi will hold a press conference at 15:30 MT time.
We don’t expect any changes to the interest rate this time. However, we will be looking for more hints on future monetary policy decisions in the bank’s statement. As we are awaiting a new round of quantitative easing implemented in November, the bank may provide more details on this program. It is also worth to mention, that Thursday’s meeting is going to be the last one hosted by Mario Draghi. As a result, analysts suggest that the meeting will be about giving him a good send-off.
• If the ECB is hawkish, the euro will rise;
• If the ECB is dovish, the euro will fall.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
US stocks and oil slipped as Donald Trump threatened not to sign a long-awaited stimulus bill into law. The market sentiment had been already fragile, and Trump’s comments worsened it even more.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.