The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
Will the pound keep standing?
Services and Manufacturing PMIs are out on Wednesday at 11:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/GBP, GBP/USD, GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF
The British economy is facing a number of difficulties. Not that the other economies are just fine, but there is an overlapping of various problems peculiar to the UK. Brexit’s gloomy outlook, end of the state’s financial support, and countrywide job cuts are the central issues. So far, the GBP seems to be the only character on the stage that is not panicking so far. That’s why the release of the Services and Manufacturing PMIs may become a crucial crossroads for the British pound to either keep standing or finally succumb to the overwhelming pressure of issues. If the figures are even slightly higher than thought, that may be a stepping stone for the GBP to take an upward trajectory against its counterparts. Otherwise, it will tremble – at least.
- If the results beat the expectations, the GBP will rise.
- If the figures are worse than forecasts, the GBP will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.