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Will the RBA cut its rate?
The Reserve bank of Australia will announce its interest rate and release a statement on May 7, at 07:30 MT time.
The main question in focus will be whether the Reserve bank will cut its interest rate to 1.25% or not. Analysts mention the projections for lower GDP growth and inflation as the main reasons why the rate cut may happen. Others remember the positive figures for employment which may weight against the rate cut. They also expect the RBA to wait until the elections before making changes to the current interest rate. At the moment, the anticipation of the rate cut is priced in. If the interest rate remains at the same level, it will help the aussie to gain positive momentum.
• If the RBA is hawkish, the AUD will go up;
• If the RBA is dovish, the AUD will go down.
The ECB statement and US unemployment claims will be out today. How the market will react?
The European Central Bank will publish the last statement of the year on December 10, at 14:45 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.