Last week was not full of events, but we still saw decent moves in the charts of majors, S&P500, NASDAQ, oil, and crypto. The upcoming week will bring even more volatility to your favorite assets!
Will the RBA support the AUD?
What will happen?
The RBA will announce its Cash Rate on April 6, at 07:30 MT time.
During the last session of the RBA, the Cash Rate was held steady at a record low of 0.1%. The Bank explained it was committed to keeping the rate at that mark until and unless the economy recovers to the inflation rate’s target range of 2 to 3%. The latter is far away from the current dynamic and is not expected to be reached earlier than 2024.
How to trade the RBA Cash Rate announcement?
Because of the above, no change to the rate is expected. In the meantime, what we will be looking for is the assessment of domestic economic dynamics and resulting actions from the RBA. The latter is ready to step in and adjust its bond purchases according to the situation. If the economic indicators are good, and no intervention from the RBA is required, it may be taken as an optimistic impulse that may boost the AUD.
- Optimistic/hawkish RBA tones may push the AUD;
- Weak outlook/dovish notes will press the AUD.
Instruments to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/CHF, AUD/CAD, AUD/JPY
The US will release the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – the impactful event for the USD and thus for all the major pairs. It will be out on November 18 at 15:30 MT (GMT+2).
Hong Kong’s HK 50 index rose and the Chinese yuan edged up as traders assess the outcome of the first virtual meeting between US President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
The Eurozone will publish the Indicator of GfK Consumer Confidence on November 25, at 09:00 GMT+2.
The United States will publish the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes on November 24, at 21:00 GMT+2.
The United States will publish Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs on Tuesday at 16:45 GMT+2.