Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Will the situation change for the British pound?
The reports that the UK and the EU reached a deal pushed the GBP up immediately. However, the optimism turned out to be short-lived, as Northern Ireland's DUP party did not approve the agreement. In addition, the leader of the Labour party Jeremy Corbyn said that the current deal was worse than the deal by Theresa May. The Parliament is expected to make a significant vote on a new Brexit deal on Saturday. If the deal is rejected, the chances of a no-deal Brexit or a further delay of the key Brexit deadline (October 31) will increase. It will pull the GBP lower. The GBP/USD pair has tested the highs above the 1.2970 level on the news but has fallen towards the support at 1.2745 after negative comments by the DUP members. The next support level will be placed at 1.2686. If Mr. Johnson manages to reassure the market with some positive updates, the pair will retest the 1.2876 level. After that, the next resistance levels will be placed at 1.2920-1.2943.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.