Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Will the situation change for the British pound?
The reports that the UK and the EU reached a deal pushed the GBP up immediately. However, the optimism turned out to be short-lived, as Northern Ireland's DUP party did not approve the agreement. In addition, the leader of the Labour party Jeremy Corbyn said that the current deal was worse than the deal by Theresa May. The Parliament is expected to make a significant vote on a new Brexit deal on Saturday. If the deal is rejected, the chances of a no-deal Brexit or a further delay of the key Brexit deadline (October 31) will increase. It will pull the GBP lower. The GBP/USD pair has tested the highs above the 1.2970 level on the news but has fallen towards the support at 1.2745 after negative comments by the DUP members. The next support level will be placed at 1.2686. If Mr. Johnson manages to reassure the market with some positive updates, the pair will retest the 1.2876 level. After that, the next resistance levels will be placed at 1.2920-1.2943.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.