This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
Will the US CPI boost the USD?
The American CPI is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD
Consumer prices are the indicator and the main component of country inflation. Inflation, above all, is the indicator of economic activity. More consumer demand – higher prices, lower consumer demand – lower prices. Consumer demand, in turn, is the basis of domestic economic health and prosperity. Therefore, if the US CPI is higher than the forecasts, that would mean that the US economy is recovering faster than projected. Such a scenario would boost the USD.
- If the CPI is better than though, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, it will drop.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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The RBA and the Bank of Canada will add volatility to the AUD and the CAD, while USD is expected to be boosted by the Non-farm payrolls.