This week started with the talk of the United States banning Russian oil exports, so XBR/USD saw $130 a barrel. Then the ban became reality. What does it really mean for the market?
Will the US crude oil inventories push the USD up?
The American Crude Oil inventories will be announced at 18:00 MT time on December 27.
In view of the OPEC’s last meeting and the ongoing discussions around the world oil production and prices, the American crude oil inventories are an important figure to watch out for. Although it is not a prime indicator like a total US crude oil output, still, it has an impact on the market, especially on the CAD after the USD, due to the robust energy sector of Canada connected with the US. While the USD rises on the expansion of this indicator, the influence on the CAD is inverted; decreasing American oil inventories would put the USD under pressure down and support the CAD.
- If the figures are higher than expected, the USD will be supported;
- If the figures are lower than expected, the USD will be under pressure down.
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is scheduled to meet on January 4.
For a long time, traders considered American Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) the most important release in the market. However, the situation has changed. Now US CPI moves financial markets.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.