Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Will the US economy withstand the virus hit?
US Monthly Durable Goods Orders will be announced on Wednesday at 14:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD
Monthly Durable Goods Orders are a very good indicator of how the US industry responds to the virus. As it comes in hindsight, the figure that will be announced on Wednesday will refer to the month of February. That’s when the virus already changed gears and started smashing doors of states in all continents – primarily, the US. For the latter, however, February still was an “introductory” chapter, so the company managers did not yet go hardcore to factor in the virus damage and reflect it with lower orders for production. Hence, with this indicator out, we will be able to observe first-hand the evolution of the US industry’s pricing-in of the global damage. If the figure is higher than the expectation, this will support the USD confirming the strong fundamentals of the American economy Donald Trump and Jerome Powell liked to mention.
- If the figures outperform the expectations, the USD will gain strength;
- If the figures come lower than expected, the USD will lose value.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.