Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
Will the US Fed support the USD?
What will happen?
The US Fed will share the Meeting Minutes on May 19, at 21:00 GMT+3.
The main announcement from the FOMC’s side has already been done a while ago: the Fed shared an overall optimistic outlook on the US economic recovery with no intention to move the interest from its current position earlier than in 2023. In the meantime, the regulator is ready to stand by the economy and come to its aid if there is any drawback in the process of recovery. Currently, it goes even in the opposite direction: the recovery seems to be so dynamic that inflation is going overboard. Very likely, we will see many remarks about that in the contents of the Fed’s Meeting Minutes.
How to trade the Meeting Minutes?
Trading the Fed’s Meeting Minutes comes down to answering one question: are the contents pointing to optimistic expectations of sooner recovery, or the Fed is concerned with certain points in the future or present economic disposition. In the first scenario, the USD will potentially rise; in the second – it may drop.
- Optimistic outlook supports the USD;
- Concerns about recovery and inflation press on the USD.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD
The US Institute for Supply Management will release ISM manufacturing PMI on July 1, 17:00 GMT+3.
The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will release monthly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on June 30, 15:30 GMT+3.
The governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, will hold a speech on June 29 at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).