The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
Will the USD drop on lower CPI?
The American monthly CPI will be released at 15:30 MT on January 14
The Consumer Price Index is an important reflection of the domestic inflation process. If the basket of goods costs more for customers, in means that inflation is rising. In this case, the financial authorities will have to impose higher interest rates to stop the prices from going over the top. The last two months referring to the months of October and November have shown a downtrend in this indicator for the US, implying a more dovish financial note and indicating that the American economy has been cooling down. If the December indicator expected for release on January 14 shows the continuation of this tendency, the USD may fall.
- If the CPI is higher than expected, the USD will rise;
- If the CPI is lower than expected, the USD will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.