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Will the USD rise on strong Durable Goods Orders?
The American Durable Goods orders will be announced at 15:30 MT time on December 23.
Durable Goods Orders indicator refers to the percentage change in the number of new orders placed to the US manufacturers of hard goods during the examined month as compared to the previous month. A positive indicator means that there have been more goods ordered than in the previous period. That, in turn, would mean better economic outlook and consumption as projected by the industry participants for the coming three years. The recent dynamic for this indicator has been controversial: October orders were 0.6% higher than September, while the latter showed a 1.4% drop compared to the August figure. If the November figure is positive and exceeds market expectations, the USD will gain strength.
- If the indicator outperforms the forecasts, the USD will rise;
- If the indicator comes lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The market optimism waned amid stricter restrictions to control rising coronavirus infections. S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped from the all-time highs, while the USD jumped higher.
S&P 500 skyrocketed to the all-time high on optimism that Biden’s fiscal stimulus will support economic growth and boost corporate earnings.
PMI reports from the EU, the UK, and the USA will be released during the day!