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WTI oil price recently broke the resistance of $45 and came to trade below $47. It definitely gives an optimistic impression. If things stay as they are, it will likely come to $50 and above. What stands behind this upbeat performance?
OPEC+ has been having a number of difficult talks between the member countries to set the oil supply plans for the mid-term future. The process was “tiring” and “excruciating” as the Saudi Energy Minister commented, but the deal was finally reached. Output cuts will not be extended next year – instead, they will be eased. 500,000 barrels will be added to the daily oil production of the cartel. After that, in a month’s time, a new meeting will be held to decide on the coming month’s production plan, and the same will be happening each month.
So in the short-term, we have an emotional reaction of the oil market that liked to hear that OPEC+ considers current demand good enough to allow cut easing. In the long-term, however, the way the recent meetings have been going reveals an increasing disparity and disagreements between the cartel member countries. Will it lead to a split? It may. Time will tell.
This week started with the talk of the United States banning Russian oil exports, so XBR/USD saw $130 a barrel. Then the ban became reality. What does it really mean for the market?
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is scheduled to meet on January 4.
For a long time, traders considered American Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) the most important release in the market. However, the situation has changed. Now US CPI moves financial markets.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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