In this article, we will discuss what the term confluence means and why traders should care about it.
How to choose a timeframe for trading
2020-12-01 • Updated
One of the most frequently asked questions during our webinars is “How can I choose a timeframe for trading?”. Let’s sort it out in this article!
First of all, we should make a distinction between the so-called “higher” and “lower” timeframes. The border between them goes through the 1-hour timeframe (H1). Timeframes with bigger periods are referred to as high, large or big (4-hour, daily, weekly, monthly), while timeframes with smaller periods are considered low or small (30-, 15-, 5-minute).
Factors of choice
The time you have for trading
The time you are willing to spend on trading is the main factor. If you want to make many trades during the day, choose smaller timeframes and become a scalper or a day trader. If you can’t be a full-time trader and plan no more than 1-3 trades a week, decide in favor of larger timeframes. Is it simple? You bet!
Each set of timeframes have their benefits. Higher timeframes will allow you to eliminate “market noise” and catch the big and “tasty” price swings. At the same time, you will probably make more trades on lower timeframes. This can allow you getting money just by scale: the more trades you open, the more chances of good trades you will have.
When trading, you need to make sure that you feel comfortable. Analyze your personal strengths and weaknesses and make both work to your advantage.
If you are ready to deal with higher levels of stress and pressure and make decisions fast, you can choose to trade on lower timeframes. You will need an ability to stay cold-headed, recover from losses quickly and resist the temptation of taking revenge on the market if you lost. On the other hand, you will also require some emotional resilience in case you get big profit so that you don’t get carried away and start betting too much on one trade. Short-term trading on lower timeframes will let you feel the pulse of the market and be a very active trader.
At the same time, if you have patience and a propensity for deep thinking, consider higher timeframes. Here you will have to wait firstly until a good signal appears and then until the price reaches your target. If you don’t want to hurry and wish to take your time analyzing each trade and its result, this is the best option for you.
Is this really a factor? If you are shown 2 charts, you probably won’t be able to say which one is a large timeframe and which one is a small one. The principle of indicators like MACD and moving averages, patterns like Head and Shoulders or Double Top and things like support and resistance is the same no matter on which timeframe you trade. Although it may seem that using the same tools brings different results on different timeframes, that usually depends on the actions of a trader and his/her skills.
The difference between M30 and D1 timeframes is that a technical pattern will form much faster on the former than on the latter. In addition, trades on lower timeframes are much more sensitive to news releases, though you can always check economic calendar and make a decision whether to avoid trading in times of events or, on the contrary, try trading on news.
It’s natural that you will think about spread if you trade on lower timeframes. You will open and close more trades. Your profit on a single short-term trade will likely be lower than the profit on one longer-term trade, so spread will be a larger part of it. Be aware of this and choose instruments with lower spreads for trading lower timeframes.
How many timeframes to pick?
The market may seem very different on different timeframes. It can be a downtrend on W1 and an uptrend on H4.
Some traders are searching for a single ideal timeframe. Others attempt to look at all the timeframes for every trade. They try to finetune a trade on M5 but the situation keeps changing fast there and they forget what ideas they had from the daily chart.
Using several timeframes allow you to see the whole picture. This is called “multiple timeframe analysis”. When you decided which timeframes are you focusing on (large or small), choose 2-3 of them you will use. For example, you can be a swing trader and use daily charts for making decisions. Weekly charts can help you define the main trend, while H1 will show you the short-term trend. In this case, there’s no need to go all the way down to M5.
The main idea of multi-timeframe analysis is to analyze the larger timeframe first and then move to the smaller ones. This way you’ll get the bigger picture and then will be able to find the best place for your order. If you want to know more about using several timeframes, read our article about a triple screen trading system.
As you can see there’s no universal recipe of the best timeframe but there are recommendations for choosing a set of timeframes to trade on. Use these tips to find timeframes that suit you most. Good luck in your trading!
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