The Federal Reserve speeds up its quantitative tightening, and this is certainly bullish news for the USD. At the same time, this is a negative factor for the American stocks, which have entered their seasonally worst month.
US dollar: forecast for Oct. 30 - Nov. 3
The US dollar had a very positive week. One of the main bullish drivers of the greenback was the weakening of the euro after the ECB meeting.
The US president Donald Trump is expected to soon announce his candidate for the position of the next Fed’s chief. According to the media, Trump is choosing between Fed Governor Jerome Powell and Stanford University economist John Taylor. Both are positive for the USD, Taylor more so, and market players just want to finally learn who will lead the US central bank. As another bullish factor for the USD, I can mention hopes that a tax reform is getting closer.
There will be a lot of important news releases in America in the upcoming days. Don’t miss core PCE price index on Monday – this is the Federal Reserve’s main inflation measure. Other releases to watch include personal spending on Monday, Chicago PMI and CB consumer confidence on Tuesday, as well as ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing PMI and the meeting of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The Fed is expected to raise rates only in December, but its statement may contain some hints on its further plans. Finally, nonfarm payrolls on Friday will make trading extremely volatile.
The USD index (DXY) formed an inverted Head and Shoulders on the daily chart. The neckline at 94.00 is acting as support ahead of 93.85 (100-day MA). Resistance is at 95.25, 95.85 and 96.00.
The gold has made a perfect retest, but will it hold against the rising dollar? Also, the Jackson Hole Symposium and Jerome Powell's speech may become critical for most assets, and finally, more economic releases and earnings reports await you.
After last week's CPI turned the markets upside down, we are looking at the performance of the US dollar…
Although the last week was intense, this one may be more dynamic and volatile. After the FOMC meeting and controversial decisions from the Bank of England, we saw a historical pound decrease, and the gold plunge. And there’s even more for you.
After the US CPI last week came out above the forecast, traders started expecting a 75-basis point rate hike…
In this video, we will talk about the potential change of a trend in the euro, another stock rally amid a global downtrend, gold prospects, and news that shakes the world right now. It’ll be a helpful video you don’t want to miss.