The week was positive for the greenback. The US dollar index managed to set new highs near $93.50.
USD/JPY: Forex outlook
The yen is appreciating against the greenback again. Despite attempts of the US dollar to return its positions, news from the White House did not let the greenback to recover. Worries about the Trump’s protectionism and trade wars were reinforced by the replacements in the White House. The US President fired the Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and appointed the ex-director of CIA Mike Pompeo to this position. Both economic and political international policy of the US may become tighter. A new White House economic adviser announced a tougher policy in regard to China. Today the dollar weakened further as investors considered the implications of continuing personnel turmoil in the Trump administration. According to the Washington Post, Mr. Trump plans to remove his national security adviser.
Now the pair has come to 61.8 Fibonacci Retracement, if it is able to break it, the next support lies at 105.5.
However, there are chances that the greenback will find the support next week and the direction of USD/JPY will finally change. On next Wednesday we anticipate the US rate’s hike. According to forecasts, the Fed will raise the interest rate to 1.75%. Furthermore, a scandal with Japanese finance minister that is related to the school land sale still puts pressure on the yen. If there is an escalation of the scandal, the yen will weaken. That is not so bad for the Japanese currency because the dollar’s plunge below 105 will be critical for the yen and the Bank of Japan policy.
The pound is highly volatile after a Brexit referendum. Have a look what other factors affect the UK currency. And get clues on future movements of GBP.
This is Forex trading plan for Thursday, May 24…
It seems like the rally of the greenback has ended. On Monday, the US dollar index tested levels near $94, however, closed below $93.50.