Reasons behind the USD's advance, the earnings season in the United States, the outlook for EUR, JPY, Apple, Amazon, and more in this video!
Weekly Forex Outlook: Feb. 5-9
Last week the US dollar index managed to close at the positive territory for the first time since the start of December. USD rallied on Friday on upbeat US jobs data. American wages rose at the fastest pace since 2009. This fueled inflation expectations and made the market price in more rate hikes. As a result, this week the American currency has a chance to get a bit higher or at least to remain supported.
USD/JPY returned from 108.30 up to 110.00. If it manages to overcome resistance at 110.45, it may recover to 200-day MA at 111.70.
The advance of EUR/USD once again stopped at 1.2500. Support lies at 1.2350 and 1.2250. German political parties still didn’t manage to form a coalition. Yet, the region’s economy is strong and there will be few events to disturb the euro. It might be a good idea to buy the euro in crosses like EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/NZD and EUR/CAD.
GBP/USD was rejected down from 1.4280. Apart from the strong US figures, the pair was hurt by weak data from Britain’s construction sector. At the same time, traders are afraid to act ahead of the Bank of England’s meeting. There’s a spinning top candle on the weekly chart – a sign of the market’s uncertainty. Governor Mark Carney sounded upbeat recently, and some analysts think that the BoE will raise interest rates in May. If the central bank confirms such expectations, GBP.USD will get to 1.4370/1.44. A disappointment will lead the pair down to 1.3975 and 1.3830.
Apart from the BoE meeting on Thursday, the economic calendar for this week contains the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australian on Tuesday and the New Zealand’s central bank on Wednesday.
As for NZD/USD, it strengthened since the last RBNZ meeting, although the economic data became worse. The pair looks vulnerable for a decline to 0.7240 and 0.7190.
This week, we will continue monitoring the developments in the stock and commodity markets as tensions between Ukraine and Russia and Fed’s tightening cycle remain the main issues driving the markets.
Watch the video to discover what's happening with US500, Japanese yen, US dollar, gold, oil, and gas.
Gold is about to break the most significant support. The US dollar index keeps gaining momentum. However, the situation might change this week, and we might see a tiny correction. Investors might return to risk-on and push the US stock market indices and cryptocurrencies to the upside. These and more trade ideas are in our new weekly video! Do not miss it!
This week is likely to be pivotal for many assets, including gold, USD, and several stocks. However, we need to be focused and react fast to the ever-changing environment to get the most from it.
This week, the majors will be affected by the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve, NFP, the BOE Meeting, and more events.