2023-08-02 • Actualizada
Kazuo Ueda, the Bank of Japan's Governor, effectively adjusted the yield curve control policy, but caution is still needed as inflation remains a challenge. The BoJ expects inflation to hit its target next year, but external inflationary pressures may abate. The government needs clearer fiscal plans supporting worker productivity and innovation to achieve sustained wage growth and meet the 2% inflation target. Fiscal and monetary policy coordination is vital for economic management in Japan, and the Bank of Japan can't achieve this goal alone. A concerted effort between the central bank and the government is necessary for sustainable inflation and economic growth.
USDJPY made a sharp bounce off the trendline support last week. Now it is heading for the rally-base-drop supply zone at the top of the previous price high. In this case, I aim to pursue the price action all the way to the supply zone and then seek selling opportunities from that area.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 143.570
Invalidation: 141.125
AUDJPY has been rejected from the trendline resistance in a move currently stalling around the 50 and 100-period moving averages. Although the market is yet to present a proper break of structure, it is my opinion. However, that price would nonetheless reach for the trendline support since it is closer to the 200-day moving average.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 88.843
Invalidation: 97.715
GBPJPY recently broke out of a consolidation channel and is completing a retest of the same support trendline it had initially broken below. In this case, I expect a reaction from the supply zone, confirming my bearish sentiment. The rejection from that supply zone is the final piece of the puzzle I would be waiting for.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 174.671
Invalidation: 184.168
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Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 150.30 con TP1:150.00... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 149.40 con TP: 150.00, TP2:151.00
Panorama General de la semana pasada…
Análisis Fundamental y Análisis técnico EURUSD, EURGBP y EURCAD
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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