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Sept 10, 2024

Currencies

USD Markets Analysis, September 10

The British pound has slightly dropped, with GBPUSD trading at 1.3055, down 0.14%. UK wage growth slowed to its lowest point in two years, easing to 5.1% from 5.4%, a sign that could help the Bank of England's efforts to lower inflation. Despite slower wage growth, the UK job market remains strong, with unemployment falling slightly to 4.1%. This solid data suggests the Bank of England won’t rush to cut interest rates next week, but a rate cut is still expected in November. Investors are also watching for upcoming GDP data and U.S. inflation figures, which could influence future rate decisions.

AUDUSD – H4 Timeframe

AUDUSDH4-10-09-2024.png

AUDUSD on the 4-hour timeframe as seen on the attached chart is currently heading into the daily timeframe pivot region, whilst the stochastic indicator remains largely oversold. In cases like this, a lower timeframe break of structure and break of trendline usually signals that price is ready to commence its reaction from the pivot zone.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 0.67155

Invalidation: 0.65570

EURUSD – H4 Timeframe

EURUSDH4-10-09-2024.png

Although the price action on the 4-hour chart of EURUSD is very similar to what we observed on the AUDUSD prior, EURUSD has a peculiar condition. I expect to see a possible sweep of the buy-side liquidity below the daily timeframe pivot zone before any likely commencement of the bullish pressure. The stochastic being oversold is another considerable confirmation in this regard.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.10677

Invalidation: 1.08895

GBPUSD – H4 Timeframe

GBPUSDH4-10-09-2024.png

GBPUSD is looking quite prim as it prepares to react from the daily timeframe pivot. The demand zone overlapping the pivot zone is a key confluence, that may contribute to price’s resumption of a bullish intent. Also, don’t forget the oversold stochastic indicator as well.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.31151

Invalidation: 1.29418

CONCLUSION

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Trading foreign currencies on margin involves significant risks and may not be suitable for everyone, as high leverage can increase both potential gains and losses. Before entering the foreign exchange market, it is essential to evaluate your investment goals, personal experience, and risk tolerance.

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Adetola-Freeman Ogunkunle

Author: Adetola-Freeman Ogunkunle

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