Tag - fundamental analysis

What To Trade In August?
What To Trade In August?

As is the custom, every new month in the financial market often presents long-term, swing trading opportunities for traders like you and me. Even better, FBS is usually there to provide insights into the expected trading opportunities through such analytical pieces as this.

BOJ's New Governor Seems Up To The Task
BOJ's New Governor Seems Up To The Task

Kazuo Ueda, the Bank of Japan's Governor, effectively adjusted the yield curve control policy, but caution is still needed as inflation remains a challenge. The BoJ expects inflation to hit its target next year, but external inflationary pressures may abate.

ECB Interest Rate Decision Could Spark a Reversal
ECB Interest Rate Decision Could Spark a Reversal

On Thursday, the European Central Bank is expected to hike interest rates by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. After July, the certainty of further rate hikes is unclear, leading to a craving for guidance in financial markets

Hedge funds Sell USD ahead of the FOMC meeting
Hedge funds Sell USD ahead of the FOMC meeting

Recently, gold prices settled by -0.41% at 59309 as the dollar and bond yields rose. However, hopes for a pause in US rate hikes limited the decline after the July meeting of the Federal Reserve. The unexpected drop in new claims for unemployment benefits in the US also contributed to the market sentiment.

How will the reporting season affect US indices?
How will the reporting season affect US indices?

Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.

Will the UK CPI send GBP Higher?
Will the UK CPI send GBP Higher?

According to EY, profit warnings among UK-listed companies have reached levels last seen during the financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. More than one in six firms issued profit warnings in the past year due to rising borrowing costs and tightened consumer spending, impacting their margins. Insolvencies in June were 27% higher than the previous year and above pre-pandemic levels, with consumer industries like retail and hospitality being hit the hardest.

JPY starts the week with decline
JPY starts the week with decline

According to Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, there was "no discussion" about exchange rates during the recent meeting of Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers and central bank chiefs in India. This news comes as the yen weakened to around ¥145 per dollar last month, prompting concerns that the Japanese government may intervene in the currency market to support the yen.

Which one is a real safe haven now?
Which one is a real safe haven now?

Gold prices dipped as investors took profits following a near one-month high, but still recorded their biggest weekly gain since April on expectations of a pause in U.S. interest rate hikes. Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,954.69 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures eased 0.2% to $1,959.30. The dollar index edged up 0.2% but remained close to its lowest level since April 2022.

CPI release will decide the next FOMC step
CPI release will decide the next FOMC step

Today's focus is on the US CPI data, which experts believe will be better than expected. The forecasted US CPI m/m is 0.3%, and y/y is 3.1%, a positive sign for the market as the Fed's inflation target is 2%. Even a strong inflation reading may lead to one more interest rate hike, keeping traders somewhat worried. The reaction of the 2-year Treasury yield and the dollar index will indicate the Fed's next move. With inflation slowing down, the path of least resistance for the US equity market is skewed to the upside.

How will NFP affect the markets? 
How will NFP affect the markets? 

Here’s the scoop: Businesses employ various strategies to soften economic conditions before resorting to mass layoffs. These measures include reducing job postings, hiring less, cutting temporary help, and reducing hours worked. Average weekly hours have decreased, potentially indicating a return to normal or a slackening labor market depending on future trends.

Stocks to trade in July
Stocks to trade in July

When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.

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