2021-05-04 • Updated
Bank of England will make a policy statement on Thursday at 14:00 MT (GMT+3). It’s widely expected that the bank may raise its growth projections and, more importantly, taper its quantitative easing programme, by cutting asset purchases. If it happens, the GBP will get a stimulus to rise.
Indeed, most of the recent economic indicators revealed that the British economy is recovering faster than the BOE forecast in February. Both manufacturing and services industries showed the strongest numbers in seven years in April. Retail sales jumped in March.
Well, but what if no policy tightening? In this case, the GBP is likely to fall.
GBP/USD has been trending up for over a year already. If it manages to break above the chain of recent highs of 1.4000, it will rally up to the high of February 24 at 1.4150. On the flip side, if it breaks below the low of April 30 at 1.3800, it may fall to the lower trend line, which the pair is unlikely to cross on the first try as it has failed to break below this line for over a year.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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