OIL: a detailed short-term outlook

OIL: a detailed short-term outlook

2020-06-25 • Updated

On Wednesday, when the WTI oil price stopped at $40 we advised that it would go further down to the area of $37.5. Eventually, it happened exactly as foreseen – the price is currently at $37.5 although we did not expect it to go down as fast as it did. Now, it makes sense to a closer technical look to it to properly prepare for possible outcomes.

In the midterm, we see that the pace of recovery that WTI was at during May got slower. Since the beginning of June, the price is barely climbing upwards – that is visible with the Moving Averages as well. Trading way above the 50-MA in May, oil more frequently goes downwards to the area where 50-MA and 100-MA overlap – currently at 38.0. It doesn’t suggest a fundamental trend change, though, – just the fact that it will definitely take longer to get from $40 to $50 than what it took to get from $30 to $40.

1.png

In the short term, we see that the recently left pear above $40 makes a tip of a pyramid-like formation based somewhere at $36. Why exactly $36? On June 19 and 22, the price dropped to this level. Although that was really short-term and did stop it from going upwards eventually, plunges like this don’t happen for no reason. Downside definitely has heavy gravity, and WTI price will be under its influence at least until the second-wave virus fears are gone. Therefore, we are expecting the red-marked area to be an expected zone of movement for the oil price in the short-term – that is, at and below $38.

2.png

                                                                                                    LOG IN

Similar

Top Stocks to Trade this Earnings Season
Top Stocks to Trade this Earnings Season

The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.

Top Stocks to Invest in 2023
Top Stocks to Invest in 2023

The previous year 2022, was undoubtedly tumultuous for the stock markets, with several stocks plummeting across multiple industries. Analysts have blamed the hard times on inflation, hawkish federal reserve policies, an impending global recession, and the ongoing crisis in Ukraine. This year, however, we're beginning to see some recovery in the stock markets. This article will find a few stocks worth buying this year.

MSFT faces gloomy forecasts ahead of earnings report
MSFT faces gloomy forecasts ahead of earnings report

In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.

Latest news

Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!
Gold’s Next Move Could Be Huge!

Let's dive into the world of gold. Currently, the price of gold, represented by XAUUSD, is stuck in indecision, hovering around the $1,975 mark. The market is anxiously awaiting two important factors: the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the extension of the US debt ceiling.

What to Trade in June
What to Trade in June

Hey guys, this is the last full trading week in May, and many forward-looking individuals like myself are already preparing themselves to seize whatever opportunities June may have in store. On this note, I will review a few commodities that have satisfied my quest for swing-trading opportunities in the coming month. Follow me!

Will GBP Recover Now?
Will GBP Recover Now?

The Bank of England (BoE) has dramatically shifted its economic forecasts. They no longer expect a recession in the UK and have upgraded their growth projections. This year, the BoE predicts GDP growth of +0.25%, a significant improvement from previous expectations. Next year's forecast is even more optimistic, with a projected growth of 0.75%.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Feel the Team Spirit

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

Beginner Forex book

Beginner Forex book will guide you through the world of trading.

Beginner Forex book

The most important things to start trading
Enter your e-mail, and we will send you a free Beginner Forex book

Thank you!

We've emailed a special link to your e-mail.
Click the link to confirm your address and get Beginner Forex book for free.

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera