Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
USD/CAD: bears got scared of a Shark
2019-11-11 • Updated
On the daily chart, USD/CAD keeps forming the 5-0 pattern. Recoil from convergence area at 1.2737-1.2765 allowed bears to try to resume the downtrend. If the pair renews low at 1.2525, it will increase odds of the continuation of the decline. On the other hand, if prices leave the short-term descending trend channel, a consolidation between 1.2525 and 1.2765 may develop.
On H1, a successful attack on resistance at 1.2595-1.2610 will trigger the inverse “Shark” pattern with 88.6% target. The inability of bulls to hold the pair above 1.2595 will point at their weakness.
Later today Tiff Macklem, the governor of the BoC (Bank of Canada) is expected to speak at the Riksbank's International Symposium as part of a discussion panel on 'Central Bank Independence'.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?